Thirty-year-old
Elaine Liu of Taipei County is having a tough
time deciding who to vote for in that county's
magistrate election, saying she is fed up with
politicians trading "one-sided" accusations.
"The year's
election campaign has been really ugly," Liu
said recently, complaining that the mudslinging
would not help her decide which candidate was
more qualified to lead the county.
"And even the
24-hour cable stations can't tell me which
accusations are true and which are false," Liu
said.
She originally was
leaning toward voting for Democratic Progressive
Party nominee Luo Wen-jia (羅文嘉) for his clean
image in his race against KMT candidate Chou
Hsi-wei (周錫瑋).
But she admitted
she's rethinking her choice because "Luo has
adopted the tactic of attacking Chou's integrity
rather than telling the voters how he will make
the county better," Liu said.
She is just one of
many voters around Taiwan struggling to fight
through the mud in a campaign where candidates
seem to be competing more based on who can
"unearth" the most dirt about their rivals.
In the 23 counties
and cities where voters will elect new local
government heads, candidates in at least 10 of
those have accused their opponents of being
involved in scandals that challenge their
integrity.
Among the favorite
attacks? Accusing a candidate of capitalizing on
their political power to borrow money without
collateral and then not repaying the loan, or
alleging that they helped businessmen get
favorable deals or operate illegally in exchange
for kickbacks.
The trading of
accusations has produced hundreds of lawsuits,
with the accused suing their rivals for slander,
and the accusers countersuing for being the
targets of "false charges."
The Taipei County
race that has left Liu and many other voters in
a quandary is one of the most explicit examples
of "negative campaigning," said Tunghai
University political science professor Wang
Yeh-lih (王業立).
And it may be
having some effect. Chou at one point enjoyed a
comfortable lead in the polls, but that has
changed after Luo accused him of leaving unpaid
loans behind when he was a member of the
Provincial Assembly between 1994 and 1998.
While Chou answered
Luo's attacks by reiterating that the issue had
been dealt with in the courts - which found him
not guilty - the latest polls show the margin
between the two candidates has narrowed.
In internal polls
taken by the DPP and KMT last week, Luo trails
by 2 and 7 percent respectively, after previous
polls showed that the DPP nominee was behind by
as many as 15 points.
Wang said U.S.
presidential candidates often resort to similar
tactics, especially in tight races where a small
swing in support can be decisive.
"But negative
campaigning in Taiwan has even become more
popular than it is in the United States," Wang
asserted. He attributed the trend to two factors
- the special characteristics of local voters
and the media.
The electorate, in
particular swing voters, pay attention to
disclosures that call into question a
candidate's integrity, according to Wang.
"Local media also
shows greater interest in updating and following
the exposes of these alleged scandals during the
campaign," instead of spending time on exploring
the candidates' positions on issues, Wang
believed.
Professor Shih Cheng-fang
of Tamkang University argued that recent
election campaigns have turned into races where
candidates "compete to prove to the voters that
they are not the worst candidate in the election
with regard to personal integrity and morality."
Shih said Taiwan is
different from Europe, where differences between
left and right play heavily on the choices of
voters. Here Taiwan's status is the top issue.
But compared to last
year's presidential poll, the magistrate and
mayoral elections do not provide a battleground
pitting Taiwan independence against unification
with China, Shih added.
"Taiwanese voters are not
yet as sophisticated (as Europeans) in
exercising their voting rights in a democracy,"
Shih suggested. They vote emotionally and based
on information gathered from election campaigns,
said Shih, an expert in public administration
science.
He also noted that
candidates in Taiwan are still reluctant to
improve themselves to campaign in a
forward-looking way and gain voter support with
explicit visions and constructive platforms,
which leaves negative campaigning as an
attractive alternative.
Supporting Shih's
view, Liu said she used to read candidates'
platforms in the electoral bulletin issued
before previous elections.
"But the platform
of many candidates always disappointed me,
because obviously they did not take it
seriously," Liu said.
Liu acknowledged,
though, that, "I'm in the minority of voters in
Taiwan to take candidates' platforms so
seriously. Most people, including my family,
vote according to their partisan pan-blue or
pan-green preference."
Shih believes that
Luo's attacks on Chou in Taipei County could
prove successful.
"Luo may win the
election if he can persuade more DPP supporters
to go out and cast their ballots on election
day," Shih predicted. He also attributed the
success of Luo's attack to Chou's failure to
immediately and forcefully counter the
allegations.
"Chou is likely to
lose the battle because of such negligence,"
Shih warned.
KMT Legislator Lin
Hung-chih (林鴻池) disagreed, however. Lin said
Chou has put the issue behind him by citing the
court ruling that upheld his innocence.
Formerly mayor of
Banciao City, Taipei County, Lin argued that the
competition for the top office in Taipei County
has always ended up as a showdown between rival
partisan pan-blue and pan-green supporters.
"Anything else will
be of little significance in the end of the
campaign," he believed.
While Luo's
negative attacks in Taipei County could work,
the DPP's allegations in Taichung City against
incumbent KMT Mayor Jason Hu (胡?強) are less
likely to prove fruitful, both Wang and Shih
agreed.
With Hu leading DPP
candidate Lin Chia-lung (林佳龍) by big margins in
polls, the DPP has attacked Hu for including his
10 years of overseas study in the United Kingdom
as part of his years of public service when
filing for his retirement pension.
Dubbing the DPP's
charges as "campaign rhetoric," Hu remained
indifferent to the attack and said he would
tackle the issue only when the court subpoenas
him and demands that he account for the dispute.
The situation in
Taichung City is different to Taipei County,
Wang said, because of the big gap between Hu's
and Lin's popularity.
Shih believed the
charges against Hu wouldn't resonate nearly as
loudly as those made against the KMT's Chou in
Taipei County.
"Most ordinary
people who have experienced the pressure of
having to pay money they borrowed have a clearer
idea about how privileged it is not to repay an
outstanding loan," Shih explained.
On the other hand,
voters may not identify personally with Hu's
retirement pension controversy because it is not
a benefit everyone enjoys, Shih believed.
Liu said that
should the mudslinging trend intensify, she
might not vote in the future. How many others
feel like her could be a key determinant on
December 3, when turnout numbers may be as
closely watched as the election returns
themselves. |